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Events Fetched
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Resolved Events
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Model Estimates
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Models Compared
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Fetches 100 Polymarket prediction events, then asks 10 models (Qwen 0.5B → GPT-4o Mini) to estimate each probability. Calibration metrics are computed against resolved outcomes.
Requires CALIBRATEDAI_OPENROUTER_API_KEY · ~1000 API calls
Data from Polymarket Gamma API · Models via OpenRouter · Part of the 216Labs portfolio